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UpSkill Sprint • Counting Methods

Permutations & Combinations

The easiest way to master permutations and combinations is to stop memorizing formulas first and answer two questions: Does order matter? and Can I select the same item more than once?

StatisticsBeginner • 25 min lessonInteractive visualsWorked examplesExam decision rules
1 • The master decision table

Start with two questions

Question 1

Does order matter?

If changing the order creates a different outcome, think permutation.

Question 2

Can I select the same item again?

If yes, repetition/replacement is allowed. If no, the pool shrinks.

SituationOrder matters?Repetition / replacement?Method
Arrange 3 people from 10YesNoPermutation without repetition
Create a 4-digit PINYesYesPermutation with repetition
Choose 3 people from 10NoNoCombination without repetition
Choose 3 donuts from 5 flavors; flavors may repeatNoYesCombination with repetition
2 • Permutation vs combination

The most important distinction is order

Suppose you have three letters: A, B, C and you want to select 2.

If order matters

AB and BA are different.

AB, AC, BA, BC, CA, CB

There are 6 outcomes.

This is a permutation.

If order does NOT matter

AB and BA represent the same selection.

AB, AC, BC

There are only 3 groups.

This is a combination.

Remember: Permutation = position/order matters. Combination = selection only; order does not matter.
3 • Case 1

Permutation WITHOUT replacement / repetition

Suppose there are 5 people — A, B, C, D, E — and you need to choose a President, Vice-President and Secretary.

Order clearly matters because A as President and B as Vice-President is different from B as President and A as Vice-President. Also, one person cannot occupy two positions.

President: 5 choices

Vice-President: 4 choices

Secretary: 3 choices

5 × 4 × 3 = 60

The general formula is:

\({}_nP_r = \dfrac{n!}{(n-r)!}\)

For this example: \({}_5P_3 = \dfrac{5!}{2!} = 60\)

Interactive permutation visualLIVE
Draw 0 of 3
Available
Arrangement
This run keeps the draw order. Drawing the same selected tokens in a different order gives a different permutation.
6
3
Key clue: words such as arrange, rank, first/second/third, assign positions, sequence, schedule usually suggest a permutation.
4 • Case 2

Combination WITHOUT replacement / repetition

Now suppose the same 5 people exist, but instead of assigning positions, you simply select 3 people for a committee.

ABC is exactly the same committee as BCA or CAB. Order does not matter.

\(\binom{n}{r} = \dfrac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\)

For 5 people, choose 3:

\(\binom{5}{3} = \dfrac{5!}{3!2!} = 10\)

Notice the relationship:

\(\binom{n}{r} = \dfrac{{}_nP_r}{r!}\)

Why divide by r!? Because permutations count every arrangement of the same group.

Interactive combination visualLIVE
Draw 0 of 3
Available
Selection shown in canonical order
The selected tokens are sorted to emphasize that draw order does not create a new combination.
6
3

For example, ABC, ACB, BAC, BCA, CAB and CBA are 6 permutations, because 3! = 6, but they are all one combination: {A,B,C}.

5 • What replacement means

With replacement vs without replacement

Imagine a bag containing A, B, C and D.

Without replacement

If you draw A, you do not put A back.

The next draw only has B, C and D.

4 → 3 → 2

With replacement

If you draw A, you put A back.

The next draw still has A, B, C and D.

4 → 4 → 4

So AA becomes possible.

With replacement usually means repetition is allowed.
6 • Case 3

Permutation WITH repetition / replacement

This is one of the easiest formulas.

Suppose you create a 4-digit PIN. Each position can contain 0–9, so each position has 10 choices. Repetition is allowed, so 1111 is valid.

\(10 \times 10 \times 10 \times 10 = 10^4 = 10{,}000\)

The general formula is:

\(n^r\)

where n is the number of choices available each time and r is the number of positions.

Replacement simulatorLIVE
Draw 0 of 3
Available — notice that nothing disappears
Ordered result
Because each selected item is replaced, every position has all n choices again.
5
3
7 • Case 4

Combination WITH repetition

This one is less intuitive.

Suppose an ice cream shop has 4 flavors — Chocolate, Vanilla, Strawberry, Mint — and you want 3 scoops. You can repeat flavors, but order does not matter.

Chocolate–Vanilla–Strawberry is the same final selection as Vanilla–Strawberry–Chocolate.

\(\binom{n+r-1}{r}\)

For 4 flavors and 3 scoops:

\(\binom{4+3-1}{3} = \binom{6}{3} = 20\)

Why not n^r?

Because n^r counts order. It treats CVS, CSV, VCS, VSC, SCV and SVC as different. For a combination, those are the same final selection.

8 • Another meaning of repetition

Repeated identical objects

There is another situation that often appears on exams. This is different from sampling with replacement.

Suppose you are asked: How many arrangements can be made from LEVEL?

LEVEL has 5 letters, but L appears twice and E appears twice.

If all letters were unique, there would be 5! = 120 arrangements. But swapping one L with the other L does not make a new word.

\(\dfrac{n!}{n_1!n_2!\cdots n_k!}\)
\(\dfrac{5!}{2!\,2!} = 30\)

Selection with replacement

Example: create a 4-digit PIN where digits may repeat.

\(n^r\)

Objects already contain duplicates

Example: arrange the letters in MISSISSIPPI.

\(\dfrac{n!}{n_1!n_2!\cdots}\)
9 • The complete framework

The table worth memorizing

Order matters?Repetition allowed?MethodFormula
YesNoPermutation without replacement\(\dfrac{n!}{(n-r)!}\)
YesYesPermutation with replacement\(n^r\)
NoNoCombination without replacement\(\dfrac{n!}{r!(n-r)!}\)
NoYesCombination with repetition\(\binom{n+r-1}{r}\)
10 • Practice identifying the method

Do not calculate first

Problem 1

From 12 engineers, choose 4 for a project team.

Order? No. Repeat? No.

Combination without replacement

Problem 2

From 12 runners, determine Gold, Silver and Bronze.

Order? Yes. Repeat? No.

Permutation without replacement

Problem 3

Create a six-digit code using 0–9. Digits may repeat.

Order? Yes. Repeat? Yes.

\(10^6\)

Problem 4

Choose 6 donuts from 10 flavors. Multiple donuts of the same flavor are allowed.

Order? No. Repeat? Yes.

\(\binom{15}{6}\)
11 • Fast exam decision tree

Use this every time

Question 1

Does order matter?

YES → permutation

NO → combination

Question 2

Can an item be selected more than once?

YES → repetition/replacement

NO → without replacement

Memory trick:
\(P = \text{Position}\) \(C = \text{Choose}\) Replacement = Can I use it again?
12 • Interactive mastery practice

Classify before calculating

Final takeaway

The one memory sentence

Permutation = position matters.

Combination = only the group matters.

Replacement = can I use it again?

Almost every basic counting problem becomes much easier once you answer ORDER? and REPEAT? before reaching for a formula.

Statistics Implementation

Use the same counting logic in Excel and Minitab

The software is fastest after you classify the problem correctly. First decide whether order matters and whether repetition is allowed; then use the matching function or expression.

Excel Functions

FunctionSyntaxPurposeWhen to use it
FACTFACT(number)Returns a factorial, such as 5! = 120.Use when building a counting formula directly or checking factorial arithmetic.
PERMUTPERMUT(number, number_chosen)Counts ordered selections without repetition.Use when order matters and an item cannot be selected more than once.
PERMUTATIONAPERMUTATIONA(number, number_chosen)Counts ordered selections with repetition.Use when order matters and the same option can be used again, such as a PIN.
COMBINCOMBIN(number, number_chosen)Counts unordered groups without repetition.Use when only the selected group matters and each item can appear once.
COMBINACOMBINA(number, number_chosen)Counts unordered selections with repetition.Use when order does not matter and repeated choices are allowed.
MULTINOMIALMULTINOMIAL(number1, [number2], ...)Returns the factorial of the total divided by the product of the group factorials.Use for arrangements of objects that already contain identical repeats, such as LEVEL.

Excel Use Cases

Assign 3 offices from 5 people

=PERMUT(5,3)60. Roles are different, so order matters; no person repeats.

Choose 3 committee members from 5

=COMBIN(5,3)10. Only the group matters; no person repeats.

Create a 4-digit PIN

=PERMUTATIONA(10,4)10,000. Four ordered positions, each with all 10 digits available.

Choose 3 scoops from 4 flavors

=COMBINA(4,3)20. Scoop order does not matter and flavors can repeat.

Check 5 factorial

=FACT(5)120. This is the raw count if all five objects are unique and all are arranged.

Arrange LEVEL

=MULTINOMIAL(2,2,1)30. The counts are L = 2, E = 2, V = 1.

Minitab Navigation

For these counting calculations, use Calc → Calculator. Store the answer in a constant (for example, K1) when you need one result, or in a column when the inputs vary by row.

Counting taskMinitab Calculator expressionWhy this option
FactorialFACTORIAL(5)Directly evaluates n!.
Permutation, no repetitionPERMUTATIONS(5,3)Minitab's permutation function counts ordered choices without repeats.
Combination, no repetitionCOMBINATIONS(5,3)Minitab's combination function ignores order.
Ordered selection with repetition10^4Each of four positions independently has 10 choices.
Combination with repetitionCOMBINATIONS(4+3-1,3)Implements the stars-and-bars formula \(\binom{n+r-1}{r}\).
Repeated identical objectsFACTORIAL(5)/(FACTORIAL(2)*FACTORIAL(2))Divides out the duplicate L and E arrangements in LEVEL.
Navigation note: Minitab's official help places FACTORIAL, PERMUTATIONS, and COMBINATIONS in Calc → Calculator. There is no need to search the Stat menu for a separate permutation or combination analysis.

Exam Tips

ASQ CSSBB / CQE pattern

Expect the exam to hide the method inside the wording. Translate the question into two checks: order? and repeat?. Do that before touching the calculator.

Fast formula check

If a combination answer is larger than the corresponding permutation answer for the same n and r, something is wrong. Without repetition, \({}_nP_r = \binom{n}{r}r!\), so the permutation count is at least as large.

Do not confuse two types of repetition

“Replacement allowed” means you may select the same option again. “Repeated identical objects” means duplicates already exist in the set. They use different formulas.

Engineering use

Use combinations for sample/team selection when sequence has no meaning; use permutations when assigning ranked roles, inspection sequences, schedules, or position-specific settings.

Knowledge check

Check your understanding

Comprehension quiz

Pick the strongest answer, then submit. Explanations appear after you submit.

1. Five people are available for President, Vice-President and Secretary. Which method applies?
2. Five people are available and you need a three-person committee. Which method applies?
3. How many four-digit PINs are possible when digits 0–9 may repeat?
4. You choose three scoops from four flavors and flavors may repeat. What is the count?
5. How many distinct arrangements can be made from LEVEL?
6. Which Excel formula directly returns 20 for four flavors and three scoops with repetition?
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